Looking Inside the JLBSports Crystal Ball: NFL Predictions Sure To Go Wrong

For me, this has been the quickest NFL offseason ever. At this point last year, my Green Bay Packers were the reigning champs, and I squeezed every second I could out of that. Hell, last season my team was undefeated up until mid-December—I held my balls in the face of every other fan for almost ten whole months. It’s been different this year though. After the Packers laid an egg against the Giants, Linsanity bridged the gap between the Super Bowl and the NBA playoffs, and before I knew it, the Olympics rolled around to preoccupy every second of my sporting fandom. A family vacation even helped to bridge the small gap between the Olympics and the start of the English Premier League. There’s been no sporting lull at all! Sure the Little League World series ate up the last few weeks of August, but that’s what Chopped on the Food Network is for. If I’m going to watch a competition, damn right it’s going to involve food and not 12 year olds.

Alas, the kids are back at school, and stores aren’t selling bermuda shorts anymore—it’s officially football season America. With the start of the NFL season tonight, the JLBSports staff put together our official predictions that are sure to go 110% wrong. The Cardinals have a better shot at a wild card spot than us getting these totally right. But hey, that’s the fun of it all. When things go wrong, it usually makes for good television. How do you think reality TV works? Here are our staff predictions for the best reality show in the world: the NFL.

–Justin

*denotes wild card team

JUSTIN’S PICKS:

NFC EAST
Giants

NFC NORTH
Packers
Bears*

NFC SOUTH
Saints
Falcons*

NFC WEST
49ers

AFC EAST
Patriots

AFC NORTH
Ravens
Steelers*

AFC SOUTH
Texans

AFC WEST
Chargers
Broncos*

SUPER BOWL PICK: Packers over Texans (35-28)

The world seems to assume that the New England Patriots will run away with the AFC, and they should. During the greatest passing expansion in NFL history, the Patriots have the NFL’s 1A quarterback in Tom Brady. You can’t win a Super Bowl anymore without a top-tier passing attack. I think Eli Mannning and New York Giants proved last year that good quarterbacks are possible of making that elite leap in the postseason (Aaron Rodgers did the year before), and you need to be able to play a little defense when it matters most. The Patriots had one of the worst defenses in football last year, but it can only get better with 1st round pick Chandler Jones providing some much needed pass rush. That being said, the Houston Texans are entering their second year under Wade Phillips’ 3-4 defense, and outside of the Steelers and Ravens mauling everyone in the AFC North, they had the best defense in the AFC last year. Week 14 in New England could decide the top seed in the AFC, and it’ll give everyone a sample of how the Texans can handle a great team in cold weather. I think good crunch time defense and a healthy Matt Shaub will be the difference come January. Expect Shaub to make that elite leap in the playoffs this year.

(I have to get this off my chest too: If Ryan Tannehill doesn’t end up being the worst quarterback in the NFL, the Miami Dolphins will overtake the New York Jets in that division, leaving Gang Green in last. ESPN and the New York media will sensationalize the shit out of Tim Tebow to get him to be the starter by week eight. Things aren’t looking good when Darrelle Revis is already saying this about their quarterback situation: “You’ve got to do what’s best for the team, and I don’t know if we’ve been wise in that department.” You can’t make this stuff up folks.)

GREG’S PICKS:

NFC EAST
Giants
Eagles*

NFC NORTH
Packers
Bears*

NFC SOUTH
Falcons

NFC WEST
49ers

AFC EAST
Patriots

AFC NORTH
Steelers
Ravens*

AFC SOUTH
Texans

AFC WEST
Broncos
Chargers*

SUPER BOWL PICK: Ravens over 49ers (13-10)

I had a tough time choosing the NFC East winner. I really hate looking like a homer, but I’ve had a change of heart about the Philadelphia Eagles’ chances the last couple days. I think Vick will be healthy towards the end of the season and enable Philadelphia to go on a run before losing to the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC Championship Game. In the AFC, I really didn’t wanna choose the Denver Broncos to win the division because I’d appear to be on the Peyton bandwagon, but their defense is so good that I expect them to do very well. That being said, I think the Baltimore Ravens will finally get their revenge on the New England Patriots for last year’s traumatizing end to the AFC Championship Game, setting up the all-Harbaugh Super Bowl that the media wanted last year. The big game in New Orleans will showcase two of the finest defenses in the league, but Joe Flacco and the Ravens will come out on top, with all his doubters finally quieted until the end of time.

MICHAEL’S PICKS:

NFC EAST
Eagles
Cowboys*

NFC NORTH
Packers

NFC SOUTH
Panthers
Saints*

NFC WEST
49ers

AFC EAST
Patriots

AFC NORTH
Steelers
Ravens*

AFC SOUTH
Texans

AFC WEST
Chargers
Broncos*

SUPER BOWL PICK: Packers over Texans (26-17)

The NFC South and West are by far going to be the most fun to watch this season. As long as the Carolina Panthers can give more support to Cam Newton in the passing game, they have the most explosive offensive package in the division and arguably in the NFC. The Seattle Seahawks are on the right track, but it seems to be coming together faster for the San Francisco 49ers, so I gave it to them. The Green Bay Packers win the NFC North for reasons that don’t need explaining if you’ve been watching football. Though my Detroit Lions will contend, I don’t think they have the running game that they need to make a Super Bowl run. They’ve an elite passing attack, but last season was Matthew Stafford’s first healthy year in the league, and that team is in big trouble if his injury-bug returns.

Follow the entire team on Twitter @JLBSportsTV

Confessions of a New York Giant Fan: Why Big Blue Won’t Repeat

As a lifelong Season Ticket Holder of the New York Giants, I’ve been on a nineteen-year emotional roller-coaster ride, with my mood every autumn and winter being determined by how Big Blue did in their most recent game. I’ve been in attendance for some phenomenal wins, and an equal number of devastating losses. Even while attending The Ohio State University last season, I did not miss a single game, going as far as to watch a handful of games on sketchy internet streams. Thankfully, I was able to attend the last two home Giants games of the season while on winter break, the latter of the two being a one-game playoff for the Division Crown and a spot in the playoffs. While watching the playoff games in my dorm room, my RA, fully aware of the extent of my fandom, gave me a pass on dorm rules during games, allowing me to curse and scream my head off after quiet hours as the Giants went on their second magic carpet ride to a Super Bowl Championship in five seasons (which, in turn, resulted in me being a celebratory drunk for a full week).

That Super Bowl Championship has had me in a state of euphoria for quite some time. Just as we began to think that the Giants would once again collapse in the second half of the season (which, for the record, always happens because the NFL insists on giving the Giants a back-loaded schedule. Seriously, can’t you give us a fucking break every once in a while?), they got hot at just the right time, got their star players back from injury, and went on to lift the Lombardi trophy for the fourth time in their history. Even the most pessimistic of Giants fans (such as myself) are confident about the future of the team, seeing as we have a young core of players, a remarkably strong and deep defensive line, and to top it all off, a Top-Five QB in Eli Manning who, as long as he is on the field, gives us a shot to win any game we’re in.

With all of that positivity in mind, I’m gonna go out on a limb here and make a not-so-bold prediction: The Super Bowl Champion New York Giants have too many holes to mount a serious repeat challenge.

There are a number of reasons why I believe this is gonna happen; some of these reasons are logical and based on the team’s current players and coaching staff, while others are down to pure speculation and are based on my many years as a die-hard fan. While I could easily just list them out in bullet-point fashion, I feel it necessary to give a bit more insight. For the most part, what is about to follow are my rambling thoughts on certain Giants players, most of which have been bottled up for years. So, without further ado, here’s my list of reasons why my beloved New York Giants will have a massively unsuccessful season in defense of their crown:

5) Our Linebackers Suck

I have lost count of the number of times I have cursed out Giants linebackers over the years. The Giants haven’t had had a strong core of starting linebackers in the last decade. Yes, the team has gotten by (thanks to a very strong and deep defensive line), but for a team that prides itself on having a strong defense, it has always disappointed me that the Giants have yet to find a high-caliber linebacker in recent years. Yes, Michael Boley has done a decent job, but I don’t consider him to be a top notch linebacker. Starting alongside him? Chase Blackburn in the middle and Mathias Kiwanuka as the other outside linebacker. As much as I love and appreciate Chase Blackburn for all he’s done as a Giant, he’s not a starting linebacker. Kiwanuka is a defensive end who gets thrown in at OLB in order to get him more playing time, knowing that he’ll get less snaps in the DE rotation with Tuck, Osi, and JPP in the mix. When used in the pass-rush, he is very effective. However, his run-stopping ability is well below-par. Behind these three on the depth chart are first-round bust Keith Rivers, late-round sophomore Jacquain Williams, and undrafted sophomores Mark Herzlich and Spencer Paysinger. Fair to say that this group fails to inspire me.

4) I have no faith in the secondary

For some reason, when the Giants draft secondary players in the first or second round, they always seem to be highly disappointing. Aside from Corey Webster in 2008 and Terrell Thomas in general, I haven’t really had any trust in a Giants CB to contain a receiver since Jason Sehorn, who I affectionately refer to as the best white corner of the last quarter-century. This season is no different. I have no faith in Corey Webster or Prince Amukamara to cover receivers effectively. To make matters worse, with Terrell Thomas injured yet again and Aaron Ross (aka “The First Round Nickel CB”) leaving for Jacksonville via free agency, the Giants have very little depth behind their two starters, a fact which disturbs me given the growing tendency in the NFL to spread the ball around and rely on the passing game. While I have some faith in Kenny Phillips to continue doing the job at strong safety (especially in his contract year), I cannot say the same about Antrel Rolle. In spite of being the highest-paid safety in the league, Antrel Rolle has had largely infuriating moments as a Giant. His tendency to get stupid personal fouls is something that has always made me try to pull my hair out. All in all, in a league that depends more and more on a quarterback’s ability to slice up secondaries, this group of players gives me very little faith.

3) The Offensive Line Actually Offends Me

Having watched Football for years, I’ve held one core belief more than any other: Whether you play in high school, college, or the NFL, your games are won and lost in the trenches. The Giants offensive line has experienced a lot of upheaval in the last two years. In 2008, the Giants had, bar none, the best offensive line in the league. From right-to-left, you had McKenzie, Snee, O’Hara, Seubert and Diehl at the top of their game, enabling Jacobs, Bradshaw and Ward to run the ball all over the field and open up the passing game for Eli. The following season, the offensive line play deteriorated, which, in-turn, led to the decline of the running game. The main reason why Eli has thrived statistically the last three years is because of the running game’s decline. Last off-season, the Giants released O’Hara & Seubert, two of the aforementioned fixtures on that 2008 offensive line, and were replaced by David Baas & Stacy Andrews. In spite of these changes, the Giants had the worst rushing offense in the entire NFL last season. This off-season, hot-headed & much-maligned RT Kareem McKenzie left, as did Stacy Andrews.

In addition, David Diehl, drafted as a LG turned into a massively below-average LT, moved back to LG last season, has again been moved, this time from LG to RT, a position he has never played before in his life, meaning that only one starter from 2010, Tom Coughlin’s son-in-law Chris Snee, still has his place on the OL. From right-to-left, the offensive line this season will probably be Diehl, Snee, Baas, career backup Kevin Boothe, & William Beatty. I really think we could’ve addressed this in the first round of the draft. While I admit that David Wilson is clearly a talented running back that replaces the void created by the departure of Brandon Jacobs, I believe we could’ve addressed the need in another way and taken an offensive tackle to replace Kareem McKenzie. Cordy Glenn and Jonathan Martin were both projected first-round picks that were still on the board. By taking one of them, you could’ve plugged them in at RT & kept David Diehl at LG, his natural position, boosting the overall quality of the offensive line & potentially reviving a running game that has never been less effective than it was last season. Defenses are gonna be able to stop Eli eventually. It’d be nice to have a half-decent running game to keep them on their toes as well.

2) The Schedule is Fucking Scary (The NFC East as well)

The Giants always seem to get horrible scheduling decisions from the NFL. This usually comes in the form of a very back-loaded schedule, but the NFL has also found more creative ways to screw with Big Blue. For example, in 2009, the Giants were handed their first game on Thanksgiving Day since 1992. The catch? They had to travel approximately 1,770 miles to play the Denver Broncos away on three-days rest. The Giants lost 26-6 en route to one of the franchise’s finest in-season collapses in recent memory, going from 5-0 to 8-8 and missing out on a playoff spot. Now, I’m not saying that the schedule was entirely responsible for enabling the collapse to continue, but it certainly didn’t do us any good. This year, the NFL truly had something special in store for my beloved Jints. For the first time in NFL history, a defending Super Bowl Champion has been handed the toughest Strength-Of-Schedule of all NFL teams. It’s only fitting that the 9-7 Giants, the first ever 9-7 team to win a Super Bowl, has to be given such a horrifying obstacle. To top it all off, the schedule becomes murderous after the Week 5 game against the Browns. Starting with the San Francisco 49ers in week 6, the Giants play seven games against teams who made the playoffs last season, with the remaining four games being against division rivals. The only break the NFL gives the Giants? A week 11 bye right before a Sunday Night game against Green Bay. At least they didn’t give us the bye earlier. Thanks for that, Roger… you greedy scumbag.

In addition to the murderous schedule, the NFC East is admittedly tougher than it was last year. The Giants clinched their playoff spot the last week of the season, in what was essentially an extra playoff game against the Dallas Cowboys with the winner taking the division & the loser going home (FYI: The Jets game was also a playoff game in some respects, with the losing team needing a miracle the last week of the season to clinch a postseason berth). The Cowboys could’ve easily put the Giants to bed in Week 14. All they had to do was hold on to a 12 point lead with 4 minutes to go. The Giants and Cowboys both finished 9-7. They are clearly on similar levels. If Miles Austin catches the ball that got caught in the lights in that Week 14 game or Jason Garrett doesn’t ice his own kicker against Arizona, Dallas could’ve been the ones lifting that Lombardi Trophy last February. The Week 17 game would’ve been meaningless if one of those two situations were handled properly. In Philadelphia, the Eagles are regrouping and look very dangerous going into the season. Last year, the “Dream Team” finished the year strong, finally coming together the last four weeks of the year. This year, DeSean “The Jerk” Jackson looks sharper (no longer distracted by his contract situation), the team is deeper and has a better understanding of Andy Reid’s philosophy. In all seriousness, I think Philly is gonna win the NFC East this year and maybe, just maybe, make a deep run in the playoffs (FWIW: just writing that makes me wanna vomit). To top it all off, Washington has a new rookie QB in Robert Griffin III and a much more experienced and talented team than they did last season. Mike Shanahan, now in his third season as Head Coach, is starting to put a team together in DC. I have a weird feeling that he’s got something going on down there. If he gets it right, the rest of the division is really gonna be in trouble, and none of us want that to happen.

1) Fate

The Giants have a tendency of fucking up massively after a championship season. In many cases, it hasn’t even been because of on-field play. In 1987, a year after the team’s first Super Bowl Championship, the players went on strike mid-season, causing games to be canceled for week 3, but replacement players to be used in weeks 4-6. The Giants went 0-3 in games played by replacement players. They finished 6-9, missing the playoffs & a chance to defend their crown. Had the Giants gone 2-1 in those three games, they would’ve made the playoffs as a wild card team, potentially getting a shot to do so. In 1991, Ray Handley took over for Bill Parcells as Head Coach a year after Big Tuna won Super Bowl XXV. Handley was a mediocre head coach who wasted a perfectly good opportunity to make a name for himself with a talented Giants team coming off its second Super Bowl in five seasons, missing the playoffs in 1991 and 1992. Handley is best remembered for his inability to pick a starting QB between Phil Simms and Jeff Hostetler, both of whom led the Giants to Super Bowl glory in 1986 and 1990. The controversy heavily marred his job as coach of the Giants and the team’s record failed to truly reflect the team’s ability and talent.

Those two cases aside, the most notable case of the New York Giants being unable to capitalize on a Super Bowl Championship was 2008. Coming off of a victory in Super Bowl XLII, the Giants had a much more talented team than what it had in 2007. The group was more experienced and in my opinion was the best team that Tom Coughlin has had in his eight years (going on nine) as Giants Head Coach. They Giants started the year 10-1 and were cruising going into their game against Washington. That team thought it was going to go back to the Super Bowl. They thought it was their God-given right to make it back to the Super Bowl. Then Plaxico Burress, already declared out for Sunday’s game with an injury as a precaution going into the playoffs, went into a night club in New York City two days before the game with an unregistered gun concealed in his sweatpants (the reason he was carrying the gun was because Steve Smith was robbed at gunpoint three days earlier by a stranger outside his apartment). The gun went off, shooting Plaxico in his right thigh. The magnitude of the story really didn’t sink in until after the Giants beat Washington that Sunday to go to 11-1. Plaxico reported himself to police the day after the game to face charges of criminal possession of a handgun, as Burress was carrying an expired Concealed Carrier of Weapons License from the state of Florida and was not registered in New York. Burress was suspended for the rest of the season by the Giants and released the following April. The off-field distraction, however, proved to be devastating for a team that thought it was well on its way to defending its Super Bowl crown, going 1-3 the last four games of the regular season before losing to Philly at home in their Divisional Round playoff game. Players on that team have spoken of the disappointment of that year and what might have been, many of whom still blame Plaxico for the team’s decline at the end of that season.

Honestly, knowing those three stories well, and knowing for a fact that the Giants just love to knock me down when I least expect it as a fan, I have good reason to believe that the Giants are gonna miss the playoffs this season. The team really isn’t anything to write home about right now, we’ve got an incredibly tough schedule and are playing in a division that’s gotten miles tougher. The last team to repeat as Super Bowl Champions was the Patriots in 2004. Five other teams have been able to accomplish the feat. In the age of free agency and where teams know each other much better than they did ten or fifteen years ago, let alone even further back, it’s very difficult to repeat as Super Bowl Champions, let alone follow up such a season with a decent campaign.

The Giants have a target on their back in 2012 and have a very tough schedule to go with it. If there’s any time that I’d consider it acceptable to not do very well after a Super Bowl Championship, it’d be this season. Why? Because I’m expecting it! Honestly, I’d rather they didn’t make the playoffs this year than have them tease me like they’ve done in years prior. Knowing them, however, they’ll make a point of it to be cruel and kick me when I’m most vulnerable. Honestly, this could go either way. But I can honestly say that the Giants won’t win the Super Bowl this season, and I don’t think they’ll make the playoffs either. But hey, I’ve seen them win two Super Bowls in my lifetime. That’s two more than I ever thought I’d see…

Follow Greg on Twitter @njny

English Premier League Preview: This Ain’t A Scene, It’s An Arms Race

In a decade, we’ll look back on last season in English football and think, “Right there: that’s when it all went mad.” The madness was spawned by Manchester City, who spent nearly £1 billion in four years to grab the English Premier League title—their first since 1968. Chelsea ended up claiming their first Champions League trophy in the Abramovic Era, despite fielding arguably their worst, albeit it most expensive team, in recent memory. The Blues and the Baby Blues won the biggest trophies in club football last year, all through the might of the all-powerful pound. The astute managing of Sir Alex Ferguson’s Manchester United wasn’t enough, and the stingy, yet measured Wengernomics of Arsenal couldn’t mount a serious challenge. Cash ruled everything.

The till hasn’t been emptied either. Chelsea have gone out and spent £80 million this summer, the crown jewel being Belgian attacking ace Eden Hazard. Manchester City only bought one player before splurging only £30 million on five players on Deadline Day. After all of their spending in previous years, nobody—except the always unsatisfied Roberto Mancini—is exactly mourning over City’s slightly tighter belt. United, despite the £340 million in debts laid upon them by the Glazer family, have written checks to secure Shinji Kagawa and Robin van Persie. (It seems like they can live off of that £80 million Ronaldo fee forever.) Out of all of the clubs in the EPL, those three have the only realistic shots at winning the title, simply because they’ve outspent the rest of the pack.

The next tier of EPL clubs are now left trying to catch up. Arsenal had their best two players poached this summer, Tottenham lost star midfielders Luka Modric and Rafel Van der Vaart, and Liverpool remain unable to attract a big-name signing from across the continent. These clubs have, however, made an effort to reload. Arsenal brought in strikers Lukas Podolski and Olivier Giroud to fill the scoring void left by RVP. Tottenham secured a permanent move for 17 goal hitman Emmanuel Adebayor, hulking midfielder Moussa Dembele, goalkeeper Hugo Lloris, attacking midfielder Gylfi Sigurðsson, and American striker Clint Dempsey. Liverpool ousted four borderline Starting XI players and replaced them with three surefire starters in Joe Allen, Fabio Borini and Nuri Sahin, and the first quick, tricky wing threat the club has had since Yossi Benayoun in Oussama Assaidi. (The ghost of Ryan Babel still haunts the Anfield wings too.)

Looks like an arms race to me.

Arsenal, Tottenham, and Liverpool all know that they can’t compete with City, United and Chelsea. They can’t compete financially, because they’re short of pounds, and they lack the pull to sign the best talent from around Europe. There’s a reason why Hazard chose only between City and Chelsea. There’s a reason why RVP wanted out of Arsenal, and chose between only United and City. A decade ago, Arsenal and Liverpool might have been in the thick for Hazard, and RVP surely wouldn’t have traded shades of red. Players know the ambitions and possibilites of clubs just as much as management does, and the gap between the new “Big Three” of City, United, and Chelsea—the only three teams while realistic title aspirations—and everyone else is massive. Not only spending wise, but in terms of squad depth too. Sergio Aguero, City’s leading scorer last season, is out for a few weeks, but they have £70 million worth of striker options in Edin Dzeko, Mario Balotelli, and Carlos Tevez to provide cover. Wayne Rooney is out for a month now for United, but no biggie—they’ve got RVP.

The gap in talent and spending has been properly reflected in the league table. In 2011-2012, Arsenal finished third behind behind the two Manchester clubs (both finished tied at 89 points), and they were still 19 points off the pace. It was the largest gap between the 1st and 2nd highest points totals since 2005, when Chelsea won the league 12 points clear of everyone.

That’s why this summer, clubs are trying to load up just to fight another season. Without Champions League football, you’re doomed to the scraps of the transfer market, and have no possibility of making the leap to catch the Big Three. Liverpool have agreed to pay nearly £5 million in total fees just to have Sahin on loan from Real Madrid this year, because they know that they need to stock up on all the guns they can get their hands on before they run out of shots to take. Tottenham decided find a manageable, but high figure between within budget limitations to come close to Adebayor’s previous £175,000 per week salary to complete his transfer from City. They’ve even taken former Liverpool targets Sigurðsson and Dempsey away from Anfield by spending a little more, seemingly just to keep them away from the competition. The Big Three is loading up for a fight at the top, and the rest are just battening down the hatches to fight out the storm and survive.

For those other clubs, that golden sky at the end of the storm are UEFA’s Financial Fair Play (FPP) restrictions. These clubs know that they’re just living year to year until FPP starts wielding a commanding influence over spending. UEFA will enforce FPP starting in 2013-2014, meaning teams that compete in UEFA competitions (Champions League and the Europa League) must break even on their balance sheet, or face consequences. Even in that 2013 year though, a deviation of £35 million will still be allowed.

Liverpool owner John Henry and Arsene Wenger have already expressed doubts over the effectiveness of FPP. Given the overall popularity of the sport and the still growing business of it all (no league or country has had the kind of new stadium boom that spearheaded the MLB, NBA and NFL to the top. Also, nobody has figured out how to maximize television and internet profits yet either, which is scary. There’s still billions to be made out there.), Henry’s states before that “clubs seem to be ignoring UEFA’s rules, which may be porous enough to enable clubs to say that the trend of huge losses is positive and therefore be exempt from any meaningful sanctions.” Wenger added that clubs aren’t doing enough now to cut wage bills in time for 2013: “I cannot see it when the wage bill is bigger than the turnover. Frankly, that cannot happen in one year.” Basically, clubs will continue to give FPP the finger until UEFA decides to grow some balls and take real action.

But only clubs that participate in UEFA’s competitions would be subject to FPP—it wouldn’t stop another Man City from being born. Any billionaire can still take a mid-table side, pump hundreds of millions into the squad, and turn them into a juggernaut. While FPP has the potential to curb spending for the current big clubs, it does nothing to account for any future giants.

So outside of the Big Three and Liverpool, Arsenal, Tottenham, and for now, Newcastle, what chance do the other 13 clubs have in the EPL? They have no hope of even nabbing a Europa League spot, and for the clubs that are good enough to not be in relegation danger, the only real joys come out of the occasional upset win. Given the upgrades some teams have made this year, however, those upsets might be plentiful. Sunderland have spent nearly £30 million on Louis Saha, Steven Fletcher, and Adam Johnson: two proven EPL strikers and a City misfit who can be one of the best wingers in the league on his day. Swansea City have flipped the Joe Allen and Brendan Rodgers fees into Michu, Ki Sung-Yueng, Kyle Bartley, and Chico. After two weeks, they’ve led the league in scoring. Everton have also had an early ray of hope, with former £15 million signing Marouane Fellaini scoring two goals, including one in a win over United.

With three legitimate title contenders and a whole host of teams that can grab points against them on any given day, this title race and Champions League race should be the tightest in years. Who’s going to deliver the kill shot this year? Well whoever spends the most money, of course.

I might have been a Fall Out Boy fan in my middle school years.

My table prediction:
1) Manchester City
2) Manchester United
3) Chelsea
4) Arsenal
5) Liverpool
6) Newcastle
7) Tottenham
8) Everton
9) Swansea City
10) Sunderland
11) West Bromwich Albion
12) Fulham
13) Aston Villa
14) Stoke City
15) Queens Park Rangers
16) West Ham United
17) Southampton
18) Wigan Athletic
19) Reading
20) Norwich City

Table projections based on TPI values simulated 10,000 times. (The value of teams based on transfer fees as of August 17th were used as input in a predictive model. Data using fees from 8/17-8/31 isn’t available yet.) As you can see in the far right column, there’s no clear cut 3rd or 4th place team. It’s that tight between teams going for the title and teams going for 4th. Via Zach Slaton for Forbes.

Click to enlarge.

Follow Justin on Twitter @jblock49